Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.169669 0.200563 0.235150 0.276695 0.325199 0.379990 0.446538
2025-08-10 0.118105 0.156008 0.203031 0.265471 0.346013 0.446200 0.580066
2025-08-17 0.087955 0.126424 0.178003 0.251851 0.354452 0.491490 0.687870
2025-08-24 0.072477 0.111681 0.167702 0.252988 0.378827 0.556804 0.826551
2025-08-31 0.058954 0.096635 0.153602 0.245147 0.387528 0.599200 0.935992
2025-09-07 0.051151 0.088581 0.148066 0.248331 0.411655 0.665281 1.086265
2025-09-14 0.044448 0.080992 0.141813 0.248928 0.430962 0.725105 1.232487
2025-09-21 0.038258 0.073151 0.133804 0.245121 0.441943 0.771989 1.362013
2025-09-28 0.033528 0.067073 0.127808 0.243652 0.456174 0.824998 1.506487
2025-10-05 0.031408 0.065469 0.129459 0.255835 0.495506 0.924471 1.740875
2025-10-12 0.030002 0.065000 0.133064 0.271927 0.543548 1.043809 2.022331
2025-10-19 0.027852 0.062676 0.132742 0.280311 0.577801 1.141178 2.272844
2025-10-26 0.024696 0.057969 0.127479 0.279110 0.595111 1.212113 2.488107
2025-11-02 0.021114 0.051760 0.118305 0.268789 0.593215 1.246683 2.638629
2025-11-09 0.017817 0.045598 0.108270 0.255111 0.582397 1.262002 2.752001
2025-11-16 0.016082 0.042808 0.105231 0.256275 0.603223 1.343725 3.009968
2025-11-23 0.013981 0.038734 0.098624 0.248337 0.602844 1.380687 3.177209
2025-11-30 0.012823 0.036854 0.096906 0.251561 0.628050 1.475131 3.478377
2025-12-07 0.011653 0.034730 0.094269 0.252165 0.647143 1.557961 3.762333
2025-12-14 0.010400 0.032150 0.090088 0.248311 0.654993 1.616049 3.996045
2025-12-21 0.009403 0.030112 0.087007 0.246824 0.668434 1.688384 4.270239
2025-12-28 0.009078 0.029998 0.089061 0.259158 0.718296 1.852157 4.778157
2026-01-04 0.008911 0.030336 0.092412 0.275449 0.780334 2.051605 5.392164